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CoreLogic reports serious delinquency rate for home loans holds steady at a near 10-year low

Posted by   /  October 10, 2017  /  No Comments

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(Editor’s note: News releases are published unedited, unless they contain factual errors.)

Mortgage Delinquencies in Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale Down Year Over Year

  • Mortgage Delinquency Rate Fell Almost 1 Percentage Point
  • Foreclosure Rate Declined 0.2 Percentage Points
  • Early-Stage Delinquencies Declined 0.3 Percentage Points

IRVINE, Calif., October 10, 2017 – CoreLogic® (NYSE: CLGX), a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled solutions provider, today released its monthly Loan Performance Insights Report which shows that, nationally, 4.6 percent of mortgages were in some stage of delinquency (30 days or more past due including those in foreclosure) in July 2017. This represents a 0.9 percentage point year-over-year decline in the overall delinquency rate compared with July 2016 when it was 5.5 percent.

As of July 2017, the foreclosure inventory rate, which measures the share of mortgages in some stage of the foreclosure process, was 0.7 percent, down from 0.9 percent in July 2016 and the lowest since the rate was also 0.7 percent in July 2007.

In Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, 2.9 percent of mortgages were delinquent by at least 30 days (including those in foreclosure) in July 2017 compared with 3.4 percent in July 2016, representing a decrease of 0.5 percentage points*. Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale mortgages in serious delinquency (90+ days past due) totaled 0.8 percent in July 2017 compared with 1.1 percent in July 2016. The foreclosure inventory rate for this July was 0.2 percent compared with 0.2 percent a year earlier.

Measuring early-stage delinquency rates is important for analyzing the health of the mortgage market. To monitor mortgage performance comprehensively, CoreLogic examines all stages of delinquency as well as transition rates, which indicate the percentage of mortgages moving from one stage of delinquency to the next.

The national rate for early-stage delinquencies, defined as 30-59 days past due, was 2 percent in July 2017, down slightly from 2.3 percent in July 2016. The share of mortgages that were 60-89 days past due in July 2017 was 0.7 percent, unchanged from July 2016. The serious delinquency rate (90 days or more past due) declined from 2.5 percent in July 2016 to 1.9 percent in July 2017 and remains near the 10-year low of 1.7 percent reached in July 2007. Alaska was the only state to experience a year-over-year increase in its serious delinquency rate.

“While the U.S. foreclosure rate remains at a 10-year low as of July, the rate across the 100 largest metro areas varies from 0.1 percent in Denver to 2.2 percent in New York,” said Dr. Frank Nothaft, chief economist for CoreLogic. “Likewise, the national serious delinquency rate remains at 1.9 percent, unchanged from June, and when analyzed across the 100 largest metros, rates vary from 0.6 percent in Denver to 4.1 percent in New York.”

Since early-stage delinquencies can be volatile, CoreLogic also analyzes transition rates. The share of mortgages that transitioned from current to 30-days past due was 0.9 percent in July 2017, down from 1.1 percent in July 2016. By comparison, in January 2007 just before the start of the financial crisis, the current-to-30-day transition rate was 1.2 percent and it peaked in November 2008 at 2 percent.

“Even though delinquency rates are lower in most markets compared with a year ago, there are some worrying trends,” said Frank Martell, president and CEO of CoreLogic. “For example, markets affected by the decline in oil production or anemic job creation have seen an increase in defaults. We see this in markets such as Anchorage, Baton Rouge and Lafayette, Louisiana where the serious delinquency rate rose over the last year.”

*Percentage point differences may be affected by rounding.

Foreclosure and Delinquency Rates by State:

State 30 Days or More Delinquent Rate July 2017 (%) Serious Delinquency Rate July 2017 (%) Foreclosure Rate July 2017 (%) 30 Days or More Delinquent Rate July 2016 (%) Serious Delinquency Rate July 2016 (%) Foreclosure Rate July 2016 (%)
National 4.6 1.9 0.7 5.5 2.5 0.9
Alabama 6.4 2.4 0.4 7.3 2.9 0.5
Alaska 3.3 1.1 0.3 2.9 1.0 0.3
Arizona 3.2 1.0 0.2 3.8 1.3 0.3
Arkansas 5.8 2.3 0.5 6.5 2.8 0.7
California 2.9 1.0 0.3 3.4 1.3 0.3
Colorado 2.2 0.7 0.2 2.8 1.0 0.3
Connecticut 5.6 2.7 1.1 6.6 3.3 1.4
Delaware 6.0 2.8 1.1 6.9 3.5 1.4
District Of Columbia 4.7 2.5 1.3 5.6 3.1 1.7
Florida 5.3 2.6 1.2 6.8 3.8 1.6
Georgia 5.7 2.0 0.4 6.8 2.5 0.5
Hawaii 3.8 2.3 1.4 4.6 2.9 1.7
Idaho 2.8 1.0 0.3 3.4 1.4 0.5
Illinois 4.9 2.3 0.9 5.8 2.9 1.1
Indiana 5.7 2.2 0.7 6.6 2.7 0.9
Iowa 3.6 1.4 0.5 4.3 1.8 0.7
Kansas 4.5 1.7 0.5 5.2 2.1 0.7
Kentucky 4.9 2.1 0.7 5.7 2.5 0.9
Louisiana 7.8 3.4 0.9 8.5 3.5 1.0
Maine 5.8 3.1 1.4 6.9 3.8 1.8
Maryland 5.9 2.7 0.9 6.9 3.4 1.1
Massachusetts 4.4 1.9 0.8 5.4 2.6 1.0
Michigan 4.0 1.3 0.2 4.8 1.7 0.3
Minnesota 2.9 1.0 0.2 3.4 1.2 0.3
Mississippi 8.4 3.2 0.6 9.4 3.7 0.7
Missouri 4.5 1.5 0.3 5.3 2.0 0.5
Montana 2.6 0.9 0.3 2.9 1.2 0.4
Nebraska 3.4 1.1 0.3 3.9 1.5 0.3
Nevada 4.2 2.2 0.8 5.4 3.2 1.2
New Hampshire 3.7 1.3 0.4 4.5 1.7 0.5
New Jersey 7.1 4.1 2.0 9.0 5.8 3.2
New Mexico 5.2 2.5 1.2 6.0 3.1 1.6
New York 7.0 4.1 2.2 8.3 5.1 2.8
North Carolina 5.0 1.9 0.5 5.8 2.3 0.6
North Dakota 2.1 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.9 0.4
Ohio 5.6 2.4 0.9 6.6 3.1 1.1
Oklahoma 5.7 2.4 0.9 6.5 2.9 1.2
Oregon 2.6 1.2 0.5 3.5 1.9 0.9
Pennsylvania 6.1 2.6 0.9 6.9 3.2 1.1
Rhode Island 5.5 2.6 0.9 6.8 3.4 1.3
South Carolina 5.3 2.1 0.7 6.2 2.6 1.0
South Dakota 2.7 1.1 0.4 3.1 1.2 0.5
Tennessee 5.5 2.0 0.3 6.5 2.5 0.4
Texas 5.1 1.7 0.4 5.7 2.0 0.4
Utah 2.8 0.9 0.2 3.5 1.3 0.3
Vermont 3.9 1.9 1.0 4.4 2.2 1.1
Virginia 3.9 1.4 0.3 4.5 1.8 0.4
Washington 2.7 1.1 0.4 3.5 1.8 0.7
West Virginia 6.2 2.1 0.6 7.2 2.4 0.6
Wisconsin 3.1 1.3 0.4 3.7 1.6 0.5
Wyoming 3.5 1.4 0.4 3.9 1.6 0.5

Source: CoreLogic July 2017

Foreclosure and Delinquency Rates for Select Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs):
(Data for additional CBSAs available upon request)

CBSA 30 Days or More Delinquent Rate July 2017 (%) Serious Delinquency Rate July 2017 (%) Foreclosure Rate July 2017 (%) 30 Days or More Delinquent Rate July 2016 (%) Serious Delinquency Rate July 2016 (%) Foreclosure Rate July 2016 (%)
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH 3.7 1.5 0.6 4.5 2.0 0.8
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI 5.0 2.4 1.0 6.0 3.1 1.1
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO 2.0 0.6 0.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX 5.5 1.8 0.4 6.0 2.1 0.4
Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV 4.6 2.5 0.9 5.9 3.6 1.3
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 2.9 1.0 0.3 3.4 1.3 0.4
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL 6.3 3.2 1.4 8.0 4.5 1.8
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA 6.8 4.1 2.2 8.3 5.3 3.0
San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, CA 1.8 0.6 0.2 2.1 0.9 0.2
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 4.1 1.7 0.5 4.8 2.2 0.7

Source: CoreLogic July 2017

For ongoing housing trends and data, visit the CoreLogic Insights Blog: www.corelogic.com/blog.

Methodology
The data in this report represents foreclosure and delinquency activity reported through July 2017.

The data in this report accounts for only first liens against a property and does not include secondary liens. The delinquency, transition and foreclosure rates are measured only against homes that have an outstanding mortgage. Homes without mortgage liens are not typically subject to foreclosure and are, therefore, excluded from the analysis. Approximately one-third of homes nationally are owned outright and do not have a mortgage. CoreLogic has approximately 85 percent coverage of U.S. foreclosure data.

Source: CoreLogic
The data provided is for use only by the primary recipient or the primary recipient’s publication or broadcast. This data may not be re-sold, republished or licensed to any other source, including publications and sources owned by the primary recipient’s parent company without prior written permission from CoreLogic. Any CoreLogic data used for publication or broadcast, in whole or in part, must be sourced as coming from CoreLogic, a data and analytics company. For use with broadcast or web content, the citation must directly accompany first reference of the data. If the data is illustrated with maps, charts, graphs or other visual elements, the CoreLogic logo must be included on screen or website. For questions, analysis or interpretation of the data, contact Lori Guyton at lguyton@cvic.com or Bill Campbell at bill@campbelllewis.com. Data provided may not be modified without the prior written permissio n of CoreLogic. Do not use the data in any unlawful manner. This data is compiled from public records, contributory databases and proprietary analytics, and its accuracy is dependent upon these sources.

About CoreLogic
CoreLogic (NYSE: CLGX) is a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled solutions provider. The company’s combined data from public, contributory and proprietary sources includes over 4.5 billion records spanning more than 50 years, providing detailed coverage of property, mortgages and other encumbrances, consumer credit, tenancy, location, hazard risk and related performance information. The markets CoreLogic serves include real estate and mortgage finance, insurance, capital markets, and the public sector. CoreLogic delivers value to clients through unique data, analytics, workflow technology, advisory and managed services. Clients rely on CoreLogic to help identify and manage growth opportunities, improve performance and mitigate risk. Headquartered in Irvine, Calif., CoreLogic operates in North America, Western Europe and Asia Pacific. For more information, please visit www.corelogic.com.

CORELOGIC and the CoreLogic logo are trademarks of CoreLogic, Inc. and/or its subsidiaries.

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  • Published: 1 week ago on October 10, 2017
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  • Last Modified: October 10, 2017 @ 11:32 am
  • Filed Under: Real Estate News Briefs

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