According to our state-by-state projections, Democrats have their best chance since 2010 to take back control of some chambers
By Louis Jacobson | Governing
In the battle for control of the 50 state legislatures, the shifting tides in the presidential race don’t appear to be having much of an impact.
Instead, structural factors — like the fact that the Democrats control a record low number of legislative chambers and the fact that more Democratic-leaning voters tend to go to the polls in presidential election years — are having a bigger effect.
The result, if our analysis is correct, should be a continued — but narrower — lead for Republicans in state legislatures.