November likely to lessen GOP’s advantage in legislatures, including in Arizona, ‘Governing’ reports

Arizona Senate
Arizona Senate

According to our state-by-state projections, Democrats have their best chance since 2010 to take back control of some chambers

By Louis Jacobson | Governing

In the battle for control of the 50 state legislatures, the shifting tides in the presidential race don’t appear to be having much of an impact.

Instead, structural factors — like the fact that the Democrats control a record low number of legislative chambers and the fact that more Democratic-leaning voters tend to go to the polls in presidential election years — are having a bigger effect.

The result, if our analysis is correct, should be a continued — but narrower — lead for Republicans in state legislatures.

Continued:

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