Tucson-based district now seen by some as leaning to Democrats
By Ronald J. Hansen |The Republic
Martha McSally’s Senate bid adds a new face to the Republican race, but also gives Democrats new hope of winning her Tucson-based House district.
David Wasserman, House editor with the Cook Political Report, quickly rated the new House race as “lean Democrat.”
“Without McSally, Republicans may struggle to hold this district,” he wrote. “In fact, Democrats are hoping for a scenario in which McSally loses the GOP Senate nomination to a more conservative candidate and moderate Republicans abandon the ticket altogether, allowing Democrats to waltz into this middle-of-the-road seat.”
Larry Sabato’s Center for Politics at the University of Virginia rates the race a toss-up. So does Nathan Gonzales’ Inside Elections.