BisNow Reports: The lumber bubble has burst

By Real Estate Daily News

After lumber set an all-time price record of $1,515 per thousand board feet in May, the “cash” market price dropped to $472 per thousand board feet in the first week of August, according to data from trade publication Fastmarkets Random Lengths reported by Fortune. The highest price that lumber fetched by the same metric in the summer of 2018 was $582.

Driving the free fall has been an inversion of the supply-and-demand equation. Just as lumber producers increased their capacity and were beginning to shrink backlogs, developers and construction firms had already started planning for delays, pivoting to other materials or halting projects altogether, Fortune reports.

Lumber costs are felt most acutely by the homebuilding and low-rise multifamily construction industries, where project starts had begun tailing off as prices hit record highs in May, Fortune reports. Steel, which some commercial developers turned to as a way of avoiding lumber, continued to rise in price well into July, Bloomberg reports.

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