Kari Lake is slipping in a new poll. These four things will decide this race

Karrin Taylor Robson (left) and Kari Lake 

Opinion: A new poll shows Kari Lake slipping and Karrin Taylor Robson now within striking distance. With one month to go until early ballots arrive, Can Kari being Kari win this race? Here’s what to watch for..

By Laurie Roberts |Arizona Republic

With just one month until early ballots hit the mailbox, a new poll shows Republican gubernatorial frontrunner Kari Lake’s level is dropping faster than Lake Powell.

OK, so not really that fast. But Lake has slipped in the polls over the last two months and her better-funded opponent Karrin Taylor Robson is now within striking distance.

The new Data Orbital poll shows Lake with 27.4% of likely Republican voters, down from 35.2% in April. Robson, meanwhile, is at 23.2%, up from 21.5%. Lake has led the race for a year but Robson is now within the margin of error in catching her.

It pays to have good timing, a yacht-load of money and a message that doesn’t turn off a fair number of the voters you will need, if you want to win in November.

At this point, it’s either candidate’s game to win the primary, but here are the pieces in play – ones worth watching between now and Aug. 2:

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