Latino voters are likely to support Democrats in Arizona, Univision poll shows

Latino unhappiness is often shown by graffiti on buildings and wall.

By Javier Arce || Arizona Republic

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Latino voters in Arizona could help democrats hold the majority in the U.S. Senate, a recent poll conducted by Univision shows.

Poll results released Tuesday, a week before the general midterm elections, showed that Latino voters in the state were more likely to vote for Democratic candidates vying for the Senate seat and state offices.

The national reflectors point to this state which is set to call very close races from Senate seat to governor. And with Latino voters making up roughly 23% of the Arizona voter bloc, constituents are casting ballots with top-of-mind issues like inflation, gun violence, abortion, climate change and student loan debt, according to the poll.

An August poll conducted by UnidosUS and Mi Familia Vota, mirrored the Univision poll regarding key issues. It also found that the majority of Latino voters in Arizona believe the country was on the wrong track and 66% of respondents said they were 100% certain they would cast a ballot in November.

As results were released to the public on Tuesday, Univision’s Jorge Ramos led a panel of experts on the issues, who agreed that how candidates address Latino voters will make all the difference.

“On every policy issue we tested, Latinos support the Democratic agenda by wide margins,” said Dr. Matt A. Barreto, co-founder of BSP Research. “And, in the final week of the campaign, individual candidates who take their message to Latino voters will be rewarded and candidates who invest less in Latinos won’t do as well as they had hoped.”

According to the poll, Senate Democratic candidate Mark Kelly has a slim lead over Blake Masters among all registered voters, with a 4-point lead (44% to 40%), with a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.

Latino voters back Kelly by a large 60% to 23% margin, while non-Hispanic white voters favor Masters with 46% to 39%. Kelly also leads among women statewide, with 46% to 37%.

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