Arizona’s current COVID-19 surge could last into December, new model shows

From left to right: Abba Gumel, Enahoro Iboi, and Calistus Ngonghala
/ASU, University of Florida

By Ray Stern | Phoenix New Times

A new study on how mask-wearing, lockdowns, and other measures affect the spread of the novel coronavirus provides a detailed look at how state and federal inaction costs thousands of lives.

The study was done by three mathematics experts — two from Arizona, one from Florida — and includes a number of important findings. Mask mandates and a national lockdown earlier on could have saved tens of thousands of lives, the study concludes, and stronger measures in Arizona and Florida would have prevented the current surges in those states.

It estimates that unless leaders enact stricter control measures in Arizona, the surge may slow, but will go on until it plateaus, possibly this December.

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