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Study concludes Arizona likely to suffer worst Census undercount, lose congressional seat if citizenship question added

Posted by   /  June 13, 2019  /  No Comments

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By Laura Gómez | Arizona Mirror

A new estimate shows Arizona’s total population could see an undercount of nearly 5% if a controversial citizenship question is added to the 2020 Census – and potentially miss out on adding a congressional seat and Electoral College vote.

That’s according to a study from Harvard University’s Shorenstein Center on Media, Politics and Public Policy, which The Washington Post compiled in state-by-state estimates.

The study surveyed about 9,000 Hispanic and non-Hispanic people with a form matching the one used by the U.S. Census Bureau and asked half of them, “Is this person a citizen of the United States?” 

“We find that asking about citizenship status significantly increases the percent of questions skipped, with particularly strong effects among Hispanics, and makes respondents less likely to report having Hispanic household members,” the study concludes.


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