ASU COVID-19 team says cases will double to 80K in a month

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By Jeremy Duda | Arizona Mirror

Based on current trends, researchers at Arizona State University expect Arizona’s total number of COVID-19 cases to double by mid-July, if not sooner.

According to an update that ASU’s COVID modeling team released on Wednesday, Arizona will hit 80,000 cases sometime between late June and July 15. Dr. Joshua LaBaer, the executive director of ASU’s Biodesign Institute, which has closely tracked data related to the COVID-19 pandemic in Arizona, said the modeling team is now expecting the later date to be the most accurate.

Arizona has seen a pronounced spike in new COVID-19 cases over the past few weeks, with total cases nearing 41,000 on Wednesday and the two highest number of new cases reported in one day being notched in the past two days. While Gov. Doug Ducey and the Arizona Department of Health Services have attributed that to increased testing, including a heavily promoted “testing blitz,” LaBaer said there’s clearly more to that trend than more testing.


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