Is fracking boom cracking?

People hold signs during a rally against hydraulic fracturing for natural gas, or fracking, on Oct. 30, 2013, in Albany, N.Y. : Photo- Mike Groll, APBy Wendy Koch | USA TODAY

Surging oil and gas production is nudging the nation closer to energy independence. But new research suggests the boom could peter out long before the United States reaches this decades-old goal.

Many wells behind the energy gush are quickly losing productivity, and some areas could hit peak levels sooner than the U.S. government expects, according to analyses presented last week at a Geological Society of America meeting in Denver.

“It’s a temporary bonanza,” says J. David Hughes, an energy expert at the Post Carbon Institute, a research group focused on sustainability. He studied two of the nation’s largest shale rock formations, now the source of huge amounts of oil and gas, and said they could start declining as early as 2016 or 2017.

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Related: Four Colorado Towns Vote on Fracking BanA7

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