By Jim Rutenberg | The New York Times
Wrong, wrong, wrong — to the very end, we got it wrong.
Just a couple of weeks ago, political prognosticators in television and print media were describing Indiana as the “most important test” for Donald J. Trump and a “firewall” where Ted Cruz “should do well.” It was one of those states Mr. Cruz could have used to force the likely — if not “guaranteed” — prospect of a contested convention in Cleveland, where, boy, were we in for a spectacular show.
Still more recently — as in Tuesday — the data journalist Nate Silver, who founded the FiveThirtyEight Website, gave Hillary Clinton a 90 percent chance of beating Bernie Sanders in Indiana. Mr. Sanders won by a comfortable margin of about five percentage points.